Assessing flood forecast uncertainty with fuzzy arithmetic
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Fuzzy and Hybrid Approaches to Modelling Uncertainty in Flood Forecasting
This paper reviews non-probabilistic approaches of modelling uncertainty, particularly in flood forecasting and introduces a fuzzy set theory-based method for treating precipitation uncertainty in rainfall-runoff modelling, which allows the temporal and/or spatial disaggregation of precipitation. The results of the fuzzy set theory-based method are compared with the probabilistic approach using...
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Fuzzy control is one of the most important parts of fuzzy theory for which several approaches exist. Mamdani uses $alpha$-cuts and builds the union of the membership functions which is called the aggregated consequence function. The resulting function is the starting point of the defuzzification process. In this article, we define a more natural way to calculate the aggregated consequence funct...
متن کاملFlood Hydrograph Simulation with Uncertainty in Rainfall - Runoff Parameters
Flood hydrograph simulation is affected by uncertainty in Rainfall – Runoff )RR( parameters. Uncertainty of RR parameters in Gharasoo catchment, part of the great Karkheh river basin, is evaluated by Monte–Carlo (MC) approach. A conceptual-distributed model, called ModClark, was used for basin simulation, in which the basin’s hydrograph was determined using the superposition of runoff generated...
متن کاملFlood Hydrograph Simulation with Uncertainty in Rainfall - Runoff Parameters
Flood hydrograph simulation is affected by uncertainty in Rainfall – Runoff )RR( parameters. Uncertainty of RR parameters in Gharasoo catchment, part of the great Karkheh river basin, is evaluated by Monte–Carlo (MC) approach. A conceptual-distributed model, called ModClark, was used for basin simulation, in which the basin’s hydrograph was determined using the superposition of runoff generated...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: E3S Web of Conferences
سال: 2016
ISSN: 2267-1242
DOI: 10.1051/e3sconf/20160718002